Freedom, the ideal America was founded on, and which all her children hold sacred, is being defended by a ragtag army. The most help Western countries like America have afforded is supplies and sanctions: the reason – nukes.
In the 50’s and 60’s, during the Cold War, the effects of these cataclysmic weapons were more openly discussed. A 2,500 megaton explosive going off in the United States in 1950 (population then 151 million), The Federal Civil Defense Administration estimated, would leave 36 million dead the first day with another 57 million injured (Common Sense and Nuclear Warfare, Bertrand Russell, page 14. See also The New York Times, June 27, 1958.).
I could go down the numbers of how many more would continue to die from the fallout and breakdown to society, but this would be a wasted effort as anyone reading this knows what would happen next – retaliation. Without predictions, the world as a whole would face a game of tit-for-tat where anyone left alive would lack any quality of life, assuming that anyone was left.
If the West does nothing more to help Ukraine, the country’s battle, though valiant, will likely end with a long-term Russian occupation. A democracy will fall to a dictatorship. Americans will have to comfort themselves in the knowledge that when a fellow democracy laid down their lives, we attacked the perpetrator’s wallet.
The consoling thought will be, “but Putin had nukes.”
Let me disperse this thought now. Putin will always have nukes. He will always desire more power and more territory. While you vote on decisions made by your leaders with your ballot, he will pressure those leaders with money stolen from his country, and with the threat of those nukes. Giving him more hostages and more territory will not change the situation.
Vladimir Putin is a thug who uses the threat of nuclear war to extort what he wants. All of his arguments and excuses are and always have been bullshit by design. The Russian president uses fear and uncertainty to manipulate others and guises his actions in a dialogue of bullshit. Many look at politics as a game of lies, but the difference between a lie and bullshit is a nuanced but important distinction.
A lie seeks to mask itself as the truth, while bullshitting is simply filling the airspace with wanton disregard to how it is received. Putin often announces his intent far ahead of time, and in the face of criticism spouts nonsense because he knows the threat of nuclear war says it all. In the midst of invading Ukraine he called it a campaign of denazification. Need I provide more evidence? Because of this tendency, dialogue with him is a waste without hard limitations.
Former President Obama stated limitations, but never responded when these limits were crossed. Former President Donald Trump approached Putin with a strategy of appeasement. Our current president has chosen a strategy of economic squeezing. With Joe Biden, at least he has followed through with his stated threats, but sanctions are slow, and it’s unclear if Ukraine will hold out long enough for them to impact
For many years now the ruling class of Russia has broadcast their intentions very clearly. Alexander Dugin, a philosopher and advisor to Putin has written a number of books. In a particular favorite of mine titled The Fourth Political Theory, Dugin spends about 13 chapters throat clearing before he leaves a real gem for readers:
“The current world is unipolar, with the global West as its centre and with the United States as its core.”
“This kind of unipolarity has geopolitical and ideological characteristics. Geopolitically, it is the strategic dominance of the Earth by the North American hyperpower and the effort of Washington to organise the balance of forces on the planet in such a manner as to be able to rule the whole world in accordance with its own national, imperialistic interests. It is bad because it deprives other states and nations of their real sovereignty.”
“When there is only one power which decides who is right and who is wrong, and who should be punished and who not, we have a form of global dictatorship. This is not acceptable. Therefore, we should fight against it. If someone deprives us of our freedom, we have to react. And we will react. The American Empire should be destroyed. And at one point, it will be (page 197).”
Beyond this wish for America’s destruction, the official message is one vague enough that most readers can likely find agreement. The right of a country to self-determine would appeal to most voters, but it must be remembered that Russia is not a democracy. Russian rulers feel the overbearing presence of the West, and by extension America, is inhibiting other countries to express their will.
Considering our military power and our media’s reach, most Americans could concede this sentiment. The question becomes, who exactly gets to exert their right to self-determine and more importantly where the limits exist for this right tend to be selective. Fair enough, for the sake of argument, I ask readers to consider the actions of Russia’s government in scenarios of self-determination.
Like the kings of old, when the population is in unrest, the leader looks to punch down at a smaller territory to raise morale. Such was the case in 2014 when Putin, having returned to the leadership of a struggling economy 2 years prior, set his eyes on Crimea. The annexation took place immediately following the Revolution of Dignity.
The revolution took place in response to the then-president of Ukraine, Victor Yanukovych, backing out of a trade agreement with the European Union which sparked protests that eventually became violent. The EU trade agreement had been voted in favor for by the Ukrainian Parliament, but Yanukovych stalled on signing it for a while before finally backing out. These led to protests. The government eventually responded with violence.
Yanukovych agreed with opposition party leaders on a de-escalation: early elections, constitutional reform, and an investigation into the governmental crackdown on the protests. Shortly thereafter Yanukovych fled to Russia.
(For a more detailed explanation, see Putin’s World, by Angela Stent. Pages 194-207)
Russia considered the best course of action was to take Crimea as its own in what it dubs as a reunification.
Currently a violent encore of these events is taking place in the ongoing war in Ukraine. Unsatisfied with the Crimean peninsula, Putin wants the rest of Ukraine as his own. Facing a new economic crisis wrought by COVID-19, Putin is attempting to raise morale in his country by punching down on Ukraine again.
He began by amassing troops on Ukraine’s border, his country then declared portions of Ukraine independent from the rest of the country, marched his troops into those portions for “peace keeping efforts,” and finally decided those troops might as well step into the rest of Ukraine for “denazification.”
This would be akin to if Putin were to declare portions of Texas independent because there are people in the state who want to secede (I’m not kidding: https://texassecede.com/faq.php). Then after declaring them independant, Russian troops arrived for “peacekeeping efforts.” And finally, they marched on to the rest of the country just because they were in the area.
As for Ukraine, this time, in an act of self-determination the Ukrainian populace is fighting back to preserve its freedom. Regardless of Russia’s disregard of Ukraine’s right to self-determine, the Russian army is actively targeting those seeking to leave the country, as well as other civilian shelters. A country espousing “self-determination” should not be actively targeting and destroying the lives of children. It could be seen as removing their chance to self-determine.
More locally for American readers, in 2016 the brute force attempt by Russia to try to hack the voting system is a flagrant attempt to steal American’s opinions: (https://www.intelligence.senate.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Report_Volume1.pdf).
Beyond that, the same year Russia took steps to influence the outcome of our election (https://apnews.com/article/d094918c0421b872eac7dc4b16e613c7). This can be a complex issue so it deserves some unpacking. If a country wishes to voice its opinion towards the outcome of an American election it is free to do so as long as it openly and honestly represents itself.
This is important so that the consumer of the message is aware of the source of the message. The Russian government took active steps to hide and camouflage its hand in the influence campaign. Worse still, the campaign was intentionally spreading falsehoods about all of the political candidates. Regardless of how effective the disinformation campaign was, or if it succeeded at all, the question arises of how can a voter express their will towards our country’s right to self-determine when he or she is surrounded by a torrent of false information?
I would agree that it is each individual voter’s duty to the country to seek out truth for themselves, but if Russia was earnest in promoting self-determination, they would equip voters with truth, and stand behind their message rather than a cloak of deception.
By analogy: Imagine if a reporter from the New York Times disguised his or herself as a Fox News Reporter and published an entire piece as if it was from Fox. Now take it a step further and imagine if it was full of falsehoods that damage a person’s career. Readers would be outraged and the author of the piece would be convicted on charges of libel.
Such disinformation is directly at odds with democracy. It must be stated plainly for the unaware reader, Russia is not a democracy, it is a dictatorship. Putin has installed loyalists in positions of power that enrich them at the cost of the average person. If you replace the former U.S.S.R. economy with a capitalistic model and replace Stalin with Putin, it would appear just as it is now. This means unlike a democracy, where the country’s ability to self-determine is a collective opinion, for Russia, the decision is entirely on one man. The rest of the country is just hostage to his whims.
[This was written March 20, 2022]








